El Mencho Predictions & Odds· 186 markets

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

18%

December 31

$15.1m Vol.
$358k Liq.
🔥$103k today
274
Ends in 3 months
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?

30%

190-209

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

46%

25-29

$50k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

78%

Over 2.5

$51k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?

53%

170-189

$645 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

69%

170-189

$18k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

17%

December 31

$8k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

87%

Yes

$951 Vol.
$264 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
G
Guatemala vs. El Salvador

Sports · Games

Guatemala vs. El Salvador

50%

Draw (Guatemala vs. El Salvador)

$5 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
Martinique vs. El Salvador

Sports · Games

Martinique vs. El Salvador

50%

Draw (Martinique vs. El Salvador)

$0 Vol.
$279 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
E
El Paso Locomotive FC vs. FC Tulsa

Sports · Games

El Paso Locomotive FC vs. FC Tulsa

52%

El Paso Locomotive FC

$333 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
D
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Wydad Athletic Club

Sports · Games

Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Wydad Athletic Club

50%

Draw (Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Wydad Athletic Club)

$0 Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
E
El Salvador vs. Jamaica

Sports · Games

El Salvador vs. Jamaica

51%

Draw (El Salvador vs. Jamaica)

$0 Vol.
$776 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
D
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès

Sports · Games

Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès

51%

Draw (Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès)

$0 Vol.
$793 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
E
El Salvador vs. Martinique

Sports · Games

El Salvador vs. Martinique

51%

El Salvador

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
2
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

99%

Ricardo Samaniego

$27k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

13%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$1k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

73%

Vladimir Putin

$1.1m Vol.
$213k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

87%

Mark Carney

$150k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days