El Mencho Predictions & Odds· 176 markets

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

19%

December 31

$14.5m Vol.
$394k Liq.
🔥$112k today
272
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

16%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

55%

<25

$34k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

50%

<170

$13k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

$46k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

72%

Yes

$703 Vol.
$424 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
E
El Salvador vs. Jamaica

Sports · Games

El Salvador vs. Jamaica

50%

El Salvador

$0 Vol.
$206 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
D
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès

Sports · Games

Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès

51%

Draw (Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès)

$0 Vol.
$553 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
Guatemala vs. El Salvador

Sports · Games

Guatemala vs. El Salvador

53%

Draw (Guatemala vs. El Salvador)

$0 Vol.
$386 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
P
Phoenix Rising FC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC

Sports · Games

Phoenix Rising FC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC

43%

Phoenix Rising FC

$1k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
E
El Salvador vs. Martinique

Sports · Games

El Salvador vs. Martinique

51%

Draw (El Salvador vs. Martinique)

$0 Vol.
$545 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
2
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

99%

Ricardo Samaniego

$27k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

45%

Yes

$84k Vol.
$99 Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

97%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1.1m Vol.
$265k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

82%

Mark Carney

$135k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
C
Concacaf 2027 Gold Cup Winner

Soccer · Sports

Concacaf 2027 Gold Cup Winner

53%

United States

$51 Vol.
$680 Liq.
Ends in 10 months
C
CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner

Soccer · Sports

CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner

50%

Team A

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
U
UEFA Conference League: Top Scorer 2026-27

UECL · goal

UEFA Conference League: Top Scorer 2026-27

50%

Tobias Bech

$0 Vol.
$478 Liq.
Ends in 9 months