El Mencho Predictions & Odds· 173 markets

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

19%

December 31

$14.5m Vol.
$506k Liq.
🔥$220k today
272
Ends in 3 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

57%

<25

$34k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

48%

<170

$13k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

$46k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

72%

Yes

$663 Vol.
$461 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
P
Phoenix Rising FC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC

Sports · Games

Phoenix Rising FC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC

43%

Phoenix Rising FC

$1k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
D
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès

Sports · Games

Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès

51%

Draw (Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. COD Meknès)

$0 Vol.
$568 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
Guatemala vs. El Salvador

Sports · Games

Guatemala vs. El Salvador

56%

Draw (Guatemala vs. El Salvador)

$0 Vol.
$437 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
E
El Salvador vs. Martinique

Sports · Games

El Salvador vs. Martinique

51%

Draw (El Salvador vs. Martinique)

$0 Vol.
$564 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

19%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
2
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

99%

Ricardo Samaniego

$27k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

46%

Yes

$84k Vol.
$93 Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1.1m Vol.
$238k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

82%

Mark Carney

$134k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
N
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
C
CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner

Soccer · Sports

CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner

50%

Team A

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Concacaf 2027 Gold Cup Winner

Soccer · Sports

Concacaf 2027 Gold Cup Winner

53%

Mexico

$51 Vol.
$715 Liq.
Ends in 10 months
N
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

88%

ND

$18k Vol.
$134k Liq.
Ends in 10 months
U
UEFA Conference League: Top Scorer 2026-27

UECL · goal

UEFA Conference League: Top Scorer 2026-27

50%

Tobias Bech

$0 Vol.
$479 Liq.
Ends in 9 months