Disclosure Predictions & Odds· 146 markets

O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$240k Vol.
$230k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$27k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$34k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 6 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$181k Vol.
$57k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

7%

Yes

$143k Vol.
$12k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

4%

Yes

$342k Vol.
$28k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

26%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

14%

Yes

$633 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
"
"Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office

<20m

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
"
"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

43-47m

$370k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill into Law?

November 19

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
315
Ended
H
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?

Yes

$143k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
H
How many senators vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill?

95+

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
W
Which senators vote for Epstein disclosure bill?

Mitch McConnell

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
W
Who will vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Mike Johnson

$179k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
T
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

No

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
E
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?

Yes

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
C
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Yes

$190k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended