Crypto Policy Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

9%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$130 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
R
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

7%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?

99%

↑ 3T

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

89%

>$2B

$83k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

100%

Nuclear 5+ times

$111k Vol.
$43k Liq.
🔥$82k today
4
Ends in about 8 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$390 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

100%

Tesla

$5k Vol.
$658 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

79%

Zelensky

$5k Vol.
$610 Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

6%

Eric Trump

$67k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 days
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

10%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$478 Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

6%

October 31

$39k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

6%

Bybit

$131k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

97%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

64%

Kraken

$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$924 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$22.8m Vol.
$471k Liq.
🔥$68k today
380
Ends in 3 months
W
What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

12%

↑ 50 ETH

$16k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

84%

$75M

$680 Vol.
$408 Liq.
Ends in 3 months