Crypto Policy Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

16%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$543 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

89%

>$2B

$83k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?

50%

↑ 3T

$18k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

8%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

2%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Terror / Terrorism

$23k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$359 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$132 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
N
NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?

3%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

8%

October 31

$26k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

6%

Bybit

$125k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

86%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

69%

Coinbase

$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

23%

↓ 20 ETH

$16k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

81%

$75M

$578 Vol.
$266 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

54%

Coinbase

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

26%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months