Clima Predictions & Odds· 195 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$327 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

99%

Miami, FL

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

81%

Yes

$951 Vol.
$507 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

81%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$37k Vol.
$364k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
P
Peru Liga 1: Team with Most Clean Sheets 2026

Sports · Soccer

Peru Liga 1: Team with Most Clean Sheets 2026

$55 Vol.
$247 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$214k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
L
Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

68%

Rafael López Aliaga

$177k Vol.
$548k Liq.
104
Ends in 12 days
A
Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

72%

Capitão Alberto Neto

$27k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

72%

Eduardo Braga

$40k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$126k Vol.
$191k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
S
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place

64%

Carol de Toni

$36k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
S
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate A

$57k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
P
Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)

Sports · Soccer

Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)

$12k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Peru Liga 1: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor) 2026

Sports · Soccer

Peru Liga 1: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor) 2026

$266 Vol.
$111 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

83%

Chinda Kingsley Ogundu

$16k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
P
Peru Liga 1: 2026 Runner-Up

Sports · Soccer

Peru Liga 1: 2026 Runner-Up

46%

UTC Cajamarca

$52 Vol.
$358 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Peru Liga 1: Winner

Sports · Soccer

Peru Liga 1: Winner

49%

Comerciantes Unidos

$588 Vol.
$175 Liq.
Ends in 3 months