Clima Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

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Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

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Ends in about 9 hours
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

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Ends in 20 days
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Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
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Ends in 6 months
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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

77%

Yes

$703 Vol.
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Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
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27
Ends in 3 months
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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Hanna

$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
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September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

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Ends in 11 days
M
M25 Setubal: Duarte Lima Sanches vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Duarte Lima Sanches vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

51%

Duarte Lima Sanches

$0 Vol.
$51 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
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How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

63%

1-3

$32k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs GenOne (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs GenOne (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

74%

Eternal Fire

$7k Vol.
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F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?

100%

33°C

$97k Vol.
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🔥$82k today
Ends in about 3 hours
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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?

98%

27°C

$25k Vol.
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Ends in about 3 hours
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What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

$46k Vol.
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Ends in 6 months
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Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

21%

Yes

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
C
Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

79%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$37k Vol.
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3
Ends in 9 months
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Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

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Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 20?

47%

9°C

$459 Vol.
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Ends in about 3 hours