Clima Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$385 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

Where will it rain on September 20?

100%

New York, NY

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Ends in about 10 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

100%

New York, NY

$2k Vol.
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S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 19 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

77%

Yes

$777 Vol.
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W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$288k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

26%

Other

$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
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M
M25 Setubal: Lourenco Silva E Costa vs Duarte Lima Sanches

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Lourenco Silva E Costa vs Duarte Lima Sanches

50%

Lourenco Silva E Costa

$3k Vol.
$25 Liq.
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H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

$38k Vol.
$7k Liq.
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F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

77%

Over 2.5

$48k Vol.
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W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

23%

Yes

$2k Vol.
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W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 10 days
L
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?

87%

23°C

$7k Vol.
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Ended
W
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

92%

Yes

$1k Vol.
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H
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?

100%

33°C

$98k Vol.
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Ends in about 4 hours
C
Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

80%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$37k Vol.
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3
Ends in 9 months
H
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?

100%

31°C

$29k Vol.
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Ended