Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

76%

5-7

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

85%

55%+

$112k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$25k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

75%

September 22

$254k Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$208k today
Ends in 9 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

99%

October 31

$273k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

33%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

69%

1500+

$88k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

87%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
M25 Setubal: Robin Bertrand vs Tiago Cacao

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Robin Bertrand vs Tiago Cacao

61%

Robin Bertrand

$10 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Patricio Alvarado

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Patricio Alvarado

0%

Carel Aubriel Ngounoue

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Telavi: Alessio Basile vs Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko

Tennis · Sports

M15 Telavi: Alessio Basile vs Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko

71%

Alessio Basile

$122 Vol.
$726 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Paul Colin vs Hudson Baxter

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Paul Colin vs Hudson Baxter

86%

Paul Colin

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Forbach: Louis Van Herck vs Amaury Raynel

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Louis Van Herck vs Amaury Raynel

44%

Louis Van Herck

$86 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Telavi: Edouard Villoslada vs Egor Khotchenkov

Tennis · Sports

M15 Telavi: Edouard Villoslada vs Egor Khotchenkov

63%

Edouard Villoslada

$37 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Mohamed Ali Abibsi vs CHARLES CHEN

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Mohamed Ali Abibsi vs CHARLES CHEN

52%

Mohamed Ali Abibsi

$0 Vol.
$133 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Benoit Torcq vs Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Benoit Torcq vs Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda

63%

Benoit Torcq

$0 Vol.
$495 Liq.
Ends in 7 days