China Predictions & Odds· 2639 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.7m Vol.
$625k Liq.
73
Ends in 3 months
C
China PR vs. Maldives

Sports · Games

China PR vs. Maldives

96%

China PR

$37k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

92%

December 31

$287k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$204k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

9%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$371k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China PR vs. Palestine

Sports · Games

China PR vs. Palestine

61%

China PR

$822 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

30%

5–15%

$787 Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$59k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

27%

Yes

$483k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$58k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$21k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

35%

4.3-4.6%

$46k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months