Chat Bots Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Shadowrocket

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

HotSchedules

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?

Shadowrocket

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT global AI chatbot market share on October 31?

80–81%

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28?

No

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

No

$318k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?

No

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

No

$268k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

No

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

Yes

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

No

$537k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

No

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Baidu

$583k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended