Bashar Al Assad Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

I
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

33%

24-25

$10k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
I
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

43%

18-20%

$710 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

63%

Yashar

$320k Vol.
$142k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Trump · Israel

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

73%

No Endorsement

$43k Vol.
$114k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
A
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Syria by...?

Will Iran target Syria by...?

3%

Yes

$40k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$947k Vol.
$130k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Syria by...?

13%

Yes

$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$501 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$95k Liq.
408
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

7%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

6%

Eric Trump

$65k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$15k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

21%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$409 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.1m Vol.
$429k Liq.
🔥$328k today
593
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$794k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months