Banking Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

4%

BMO

$76k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$94 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

32%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$445 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

35%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$639 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

$2.1B

$168k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

$2.55B

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?

Percent 40+ times

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24?

Federal Reserve 5+ times

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will Powell say at Princeton Commencement Speech?

Federal Reserve 2+

$142k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
W
Who will Biden nominate to be next FDIC Chairman?

Other

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by June 30?

Business · Banking

US bank failure by June 30?

No

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Which banks will fail by March 17?

All

Which banks will fail by March 17?

Schwab

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Which banks will fail by March 31?

All

Which banks will fail by March 31?

First Republic Bank

$235 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of Roaring Kitty tweets by May 17?

75-99

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
J
Jenner (SOL) vs. Jenner (ETH) market cap on June 30?

JennerETH

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
C
Crypto Boxing

Crypto Boxing

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended
W
Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

Million Dollar Game · Poker warning

Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
'
'Argylle' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$20m

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended