Banking Industry Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

65%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$160 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

11%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$31k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

46%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$651 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$47k Liq.
97
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$312 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$828 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k Vol.
$278k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$629 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

12%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$315 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$10k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
B
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

90%

Yes

$57k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$380 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

26%

↓ 10,000

$109k Vol.
$91k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

41%

5.9%+

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

59%

No change

$196k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

34%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in 8 days