Bank Failure Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

46%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$614 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

Truist

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$828 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$45k Liq.
97
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k Vol.
$250k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

3%

Yes

$136k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$66k Vol.
$529k Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$312 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

36%

The Last Resort

$531 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$31k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

58%

Alliance

$593 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs
$341 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$25k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

65%

Sinners

$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
C
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

64%

Nuclear TigeRES

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
C
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

100%

paiN

$409k Vol.
$324k Liq.
🔥$371k today
Ends in about 4 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Fever Squad vs Chaos Enforcers (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Fever Squad vs Chaos Enforcers (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

32%

Fever Squad

$368 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months