Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$26.2m Vol.
$701k Liq.
🔥$119k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

87%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$29k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$126k Liq.
409
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$95k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$248k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.3m Vol.
$723k Liq.
🔥$64k today
6
Ends in 3 months
A
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?

Yes

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

Oil

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

President 50+ times

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say in April?

Reverse Migration

$285k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Cabinet meeting on March 26?

Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times

$171k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)

NATO

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during trophy presentation?

Ball 10+ times

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended
W
What will Trump say during bilateral events with the Taoiseach?

Ireland / Irish 3+ times

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
77
Ended