August 8 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%

December 31

$30.9m Vol.
$382k Liq.
🔥$752k today
602
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

28%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$76 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

53%

December 31

$6.5m Vol.
$7k Liq.
434
Ends in 3 months
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
I
IN-08 House Election Winner

IN-08 House Election Winner

96%

Mark Messmer (R)

$42k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$97 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MO-08 House Election Winner

MO-08 House Election Winner

96%

Jason Smith (R)

$46k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

74%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
F
FIFA Women's World Cup 2027 Winner

FIFA · Soccer

FIFA Women's World Cup 2027 Winner

50%

Team A

$11 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 10 months
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$78 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

4%

Michael Echols

$64k Vol.
$54k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

76%

JD Vance

$279 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$191 Liq.
2
Ends in 18 days
M
MA-08 House Election Winner

MA-08 House Election Winner

98%

Stephen Lynch (D)

$28k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NY-08 House Election Winner

NY-08 House Election Winner

97%

Hakeem Jeffries (D)

$33k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-08 House Election Winner

CA-08 House Election Winner

96%

John Garamendi (D)

$44k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month