AI Regulation Predictions & Odds· 227 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$51k today
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

88%

Alibaba

$567k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

65%

OpenAI

$173k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

6%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

47%

0

$143k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

9%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

68%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

65%

Hodge Conjecture

$179k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

83%

OpenAI

$46k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

72%

Z.ai

$134k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

70%

Anthropic

$87k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$365k Vol.
$472k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

65%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

87%

Anthropic

$36k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$301k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

84%

Google

$111k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

36%

Google

$63k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

65%

Anthropic

$13k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months