6 More Weeks Of Winter Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

P
Percent of Winter Wheat in drought - week of October 6, 2026

50%

Under 15%

$0 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

98%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?

55%

Indonesia

$0 Vol.
$97 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

2%

Chile

$6k Vol.
$757 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

30%

Florida

$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
E
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026

98%

Idaho

$200 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

18%

7.3M to 7.4M

$702 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Percent of Hay in drought - week of October 6, 2026

49%

Under 15%

$0 Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
P
Percent of Hogs in drought - week of October 6, 2026

49%

Under 15%

$0 Vol.
$165 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

50%

>2.5%

$86k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 28 - October 4?

70%

0

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

9%

Yes

$248k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
P
Percent of Milk Cows in drought - week of October 6, 2026

49%

Under 15%

$0 Vol.
$163 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
P
Percent of Cattle in drought - week of October 6, 2026

50%

15% to 24%

$0 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

74%

7.9 or below

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

97%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$876 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

61%

2 (50 bps)

$832k Vol.
$164k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

78%

Yes

$455k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

70%

Michigan

$200 Vol.
$342 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month