3lau Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

M
M25 Pardubice: Jan Frohlich vs Claus Piening

Tennis · Sports

M25 Pardubice: Jan Frohlich vs Claus Piening

50%

Jan Frohlich

$0 Vol.
$8 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

October 31

$192k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

41%

September 21

$28k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

90%

55%+

$109k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$14k Liq.
71
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

72%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$936 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blaublitz Akita vs. Albirex Niigata

Sports · Games

Blaublitz Akita vs. Albirex Niigata

37%

Blaublitz Akita

$10 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
W15 Constanta: Sophie Williams vs Claudia Ogescu

Tennis · Sports

W15 Constanta: Sophie Williams vs Claudia Ogescu

50%

Sophie Williams

$0 Vol.
$340 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
W50 Yecla: Tian Jialin vs Claudia Cairols Aparicio

Tennis · Sports

W50 Yecla: Tian Jialin vs Claudia Cairols Aparicio

55%

Tian Jialin

$0 Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

93%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$360k Vol.
$632k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

50%

Candidate E

$308k Vol.
$231k Liq.
11
Ended
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

98%

Manuela Schwesig

$43k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Soccer · Sports

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

94%

Alexia Putellas

$6k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

59%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$6k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 16 days