3lau Predictions & Odds· 127 markets

N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$35k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

76%

5-7

$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

81%

1500+

$95k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

95%

55%+

$116k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

98%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

99%

45%+

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

93%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$12k Liq.
71
Ended
B
Blaublitz Akita vs. Albirex Niigata

Sports · Games

Blaublitz Akita vs. Albirex Niigata

39%

Blaublitz Akita

$56 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
M15 Curitiba: Filipe Bullamah vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Filipe Bullamah vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
B
Blaublitz Akita vs. Sagan Tosu

Sports · Games

Blaublitz Akita vs. Sagan Tosu

51%

Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Sagan Tosu)

$0 Vol.
$359 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

38%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$534k Vol.
$631k Liq.
🔥$68k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

100%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$53k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

50%

Candidate E

$329k Vol.
$212k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

62%

Other

$213 Vol.
$795 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

57%

Other

$179 Vol.
$947 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 13 days