Writing 预测与赔率· 115 个市场

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OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

57%

OpenAI

$491 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

99%

Mariah Carey

$175k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$335 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

$26k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Keir Starmer say during his resignation announcement?

Thank 5+ times

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times

$34k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
Goodreads Choice Awards: Readers' Favorite Fiction

My Friends (Fredrik Backman)

$67k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
O
Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

Anatomy of a Fall

$80k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
O
Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

American Fiction

$89k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

Twitter · X

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

90-104

$491k 交易量
$0 流动性
33
已结束
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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

<55

$250k 交易量
$0 流动性
18
已结束
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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

<60

$487k 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束
W
Which artists will drop music in May?

Which artists will drop music in May?

Kendrick Lamar

$43k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

75-84

$275k 交易量
$0 流动性
19
已结束
E
Euro Finals: How will the game end?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: How will the game end?

Spain wins in 90 min

$52k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
N
Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win?

Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win?

Draw/No winner

$192k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束
O
Oscars: Best Original Song

Oscars: Best Original Song

What Was I Made For? (from 'Barbie')

$7k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
@
@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

Yes

$12k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
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# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

$573k 交易量
$0 流动性
34
已结束