US Iran 预测与赔率· 404 个市场

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 20

$1.5m 交易量
$383k 流动性
🔥$1.0m 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

80%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m 交易量
$904k 流动性
🔥$157k 今日
10 天后结束
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m 交易量
$413k 流动性
🔥$119k 今日
156
3 个月后结束
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

62%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m 交易量
$221k 流动性
🔥$62k 今日
6 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k 交易量
$223k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$767k 交易量
$312k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m 交易量
$26k 流动性
8
10 天后结束
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

16%

October 31

$356k 交易量
$22k 流动性
6
10 天后结束
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m 交易量
$73k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$159k 交易量
$13k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$9k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$636k 交易量
$25k 流动性
25
3 个月后结束
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m 交易量
$166k 流动性
195
3 个月后结束
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.9m 交易量
$465k 流动性
🔥$316k 今日
578
3 个月后结束
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k 交易量
$30k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m 交易量
$85k 流动性
20
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

Trump

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

91%

Israel 10+ times

$7k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
4 天后结束