US Iran 预测与赔率· 405 个市场

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.7m 交易量
$414k 流动性
🔥$405k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m 交易量
$257k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

13%

December 31

$18.1m 交易量
$463k 流动性
157
已结束
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

81%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m 交易量
$225k 流动性
9 个月后结束
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

70%

December 31, 2026

$37k 交易量
$53k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

5%

Yes

$1.3m 交易量
$40k 流动性
8
6 天后结束
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

USA

$23k 交易量
$125k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

40%

October 31

$372k 交易量
$5k 流动性
6
6 天后结束
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$160k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m 交易量
$67k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k 交易量
$26k 流动性
25
3 个月后结束
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m 交易量
$159k 流动性
195
3 个月后结束
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

79%

March 31

$31.5m 交易量
$439k 流动性
🔥$359k 今日
610
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

98%

Nothing

$7k 交易量
$26k 流动性
6 天后结束
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k 交易量
$37k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.1m 交易量
$84k 流动性
20
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k 交易量
$48k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

63%

NATO

$8k 交易量
$892 流动性
3 天后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Nuclear

$29k 交易量
$12k 流动性
1
大约 1 小时后结束