US Iran 预测与赔率· 411 个市场

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$3.0m 交易量
$385k 流动性
🔥$262k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$18.4m 交易量
$423k 流动性
🔥$235k 今日
157
已结束
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

9%

Yes

$1.4m 交易量
$40k 流动性
11
5 天后结束
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

99%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m 交易量
$239k 流动性
9 个月后结束
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

70%

December 31, 2026

$56k 交易量
$66k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m 交易量
$266k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

32%

No Meeting by December 31

$32k 交易量
$161k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

27%

October 31

$380k 交易量
$14k 流动性
6
5 天后结束
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

2%

Yes

$7.8m 交易量
$66k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$160k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k 交易量
$29k 流动性
25
3 个月后结束
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

7%

December 31

$29.5m 交易量
$193k 流动性
195
3 个月后结束
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

76%

March 31

$32.2m 交易量
$445k 流动性
🔥$571k 今日
631
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

99%

Nothing

$7k 交易量
$17k 流动性
5 天后结束
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k 交易量
$34k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

23%

December 31

$3.1m 交易量
$78k 流动性
20
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$801k 交易量
$52k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

99%

Trump

$493 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 天后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

51%

NATO

$8k 交易量
$213 流动性
2 天后结束