The Holdovers 预测与赔率· 4087 个市场

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$70.1m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$803k 今日
1,704
3 个月后结束
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$579k 今日
1
3 个月后结束
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

53%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.7m 交易量
$3.0m 流动性
🔥$169k 今日
707
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.9m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$154k 今日
7 天后结束
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m 交易量
$1.8m 流动性
🔥$90k 今日
1
3 个月后结束
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$52k 今日
149
3 个月后结束
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

98%

340–354

$2.5m 交易量
$75k 流动性
115
已结束
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m 交易量
$77k 流动性
275
3 个月后结束
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

54%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$52k 交易量
$37k 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

60%

OpenAI

$191k 交易量
$36k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4%

Yes

$299k 交易量
$79k 流动性
34
12 天后结束
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

89%

20-24

$75k 交易量
$59k 流动性
已结束
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$436k 交易量
$460k 流动性
103
9 个月后结束
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k 交易量
$80k 流动性
1
15 天后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$211k 流动性
27
5 个月后结束
W
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

7%

Yes

$3.4m 交易量
$138k 流动性
81
3 个月后结束
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

53%

USA

$11k 交易量
$45k 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

40%

≤47

$3.0m 交易量
$347k 流动性
11
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

95%

Anthropic

$71k 交易量
$27k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

87%

Google

$34k 交易量
$38k 流动性
7 天后结束