The Holdovers 预测与赔率· 4050 个市场

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$70.3m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$447k 今日
1,703
3 个月后结束
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.6m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$192k 今日
1
3 个月后结束
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

52%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.9m 交易量
$2.8m 流动性
🔥$167k 今日
709
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.9m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$82k 今日
7 天后结束
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$64k 今日
1
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

2%

Yes

$10.8m 交易量
$117k 流动性
275
3 个月后结束
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

67%

Democratic Party

$5.0m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
150
大约 1 个月后结束
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

98%

340–354

$2.5m 交易量
$74k 流动性
117
已结束
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

5%

Yes

$314k 交易量
$72k 流动性
34
11 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

64%

OpenAI

$203k 交易量
$38k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

51%

USA

$17k 交易量
$139k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Josh Hawley

$174k 交易量
$62k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$380k 交易量
$464k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

65%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$62k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

93%

Google

$40k 交易量
$17k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sports · UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

92%

Justin Gaethje

$719k 交易量
$25k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

0%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

$218k 交易量
$52k 流动性
7
已结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

48%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m 交易量
$486k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
N
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

89%

Marine Le Pen

$199k 交易量
$923k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

97%

Nuclear

$22k 交易量
$18k 流动性
1
1 天后结束