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Sama Altman 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

全部SportsPoliticsScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpTwitterSam AltmanChinaAIOpenAICultureXi JinpingTennisTweet MarketsTechGeopoliticsTweetEconomyMentionsGamesMagazinePotyElon TweetsRecurringBig TechMathElonTime POTYTable TennisTrump Xi SummitCodexAI RegulationBest Of 2026SetkaSetka Cup Ukraine MenSetka Cup Czechia MenCMIMillennium PrizeAI AchievementsAI Safety
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Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

3%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$17k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

Politics·AI

Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k 交易量
$87k 流动性
1
15 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

Culture·magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$66k 交易量
$535k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tech·Business

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k 交易量
$6k 流动性
20
3 个月后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Tech·Elon

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

59%

Texas

$5k 交易量
$427 流动性
5 天后结束
M
M15 Forbach: Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Arthur Lenglet

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Arthur Lenglet

1%

Ruslan Serazhetdinov

$579 交易量
$23 流动性
5 天后结束
W
W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Leonie Rabl vs Sandra Samir

Tennis · Sports

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Leonie Rabl vs Sandra Samir

21%

Leonie Rabl

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
7 天后结束
M
M15 Telavi: Samvel Aghayan vs Matic Hribar

Tennis · Sports

M15 Telavi: Samvel Aghayan vs Matic Hribar

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
5 天后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

Tech·AI

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

50%

0

$147k 交易量
$74k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Tech·AI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$630 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
L
Lazebnyi Ruslan vs. Smyrnov Mykyta

Sports · Games

Lazebnyi Ruslan vs. Smyrnov Mykyta

50%

Lazebnyi Ruslan

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Eleonora Alvisi vs Valentina Merku

Tennis · Sports

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Eleonora Alvisi vs Valentina Merku

100%

Eleonora Alvisi

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
5 天后结束
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

Tech·AI

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

56%

3

$744 交易量
$172 流动性
5 天后结束
O
Orlowski Petr vs. Hala Pavel

Sports · Games

Orlowski Petr vs. Hala Pavel

50%

Orlowski Petr

$0 交易量
$41 流动性
7 天后结束
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Samuele Seghetti vs Gianmarco Ferrari

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Samuele Seghetti vs Gianmarco Ferrari

24%

Samuele Seghetti

$0 交易量
$11k 流动性
7 天后结束
S
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giunta

Tennis · Sports

Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giunta

Alejandro Moro Canas

$112k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Daria Zelinskaya vs Esther Adeshina

Tennis · Sports

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Daria Zelinskaya vs Esther Adeshina

46%

Daria Zelinskaya

$294 交易量
$6k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Tech·AI

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

33%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

$28k 交易量
$22k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
W15 Constanta: Estella Jaeger vs Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru

Tennis · Sports

W15 Constanta: Estella Jaeger vs Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru

47%

Estella Jaeger

$128 交易量
$5k 流动性
7 天后结束

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