Outages 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k 交易量
$6k 流动性
8 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$18k 交易量
$252 流动性
8 天后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$307 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

63%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$596 流动性
8 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$132 流动性
8 天后结束
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

46%

October 31

$75k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

84%

DarkZero Esports

$195 交易量
$2k 流动性
2 天后结束
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$573k 交易量
$4k 流动性
38
超过 1 年后结束
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 交易量
$113 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k 交易量
$175k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
C
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs Haunted House (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs Haunted House (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 Playoffs

52%

Unsettled Resentment

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 16 小时后结束
L
LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

$68k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

33%

7.1M to 7.2M

$10k 交易量
$3k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$7k 交易量
$12k 流动性
8 天后结束
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Trippy Main Telecom vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage

67%

Trippy Main Telecom

$75 交易量
$2k 流动性
2 天后结束
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

56%

3

$538 交易量
$262 流动性
5 天后结束
C
Counter-Strike: HAVENs vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #7 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: HAVENs vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #7 Group A

34%

HAVENs

$0 交易量
$148 流动性
7 天后结束
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

5%

October 31

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
AWS service disrupted by...?

AWS service disrupted by...?

50%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$2 流动性
8 天后结束
L
LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

$289k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束