Mercury Prize 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

62%

December 31, 2027

$68k 交易量
$16k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

33%

December 31, 2028

$396k 交易量
$80k 流动性
13
超过 2 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

77%

December 31, 2027

$281k 交易量
$18k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 交易量
$521 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

55%

0

$150k 交易量
$63k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%

Yes

$35k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

50%

Artist A

$17k 交易量
$11k 流动性
6 个月后结束
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m 交易量
$2.1m 流动性
🔥$337k 今日
210
6 个月后结束
2
2025 Mercury Prize Winner

2025 Mercury Prize Winner

Sam Fender – ‘People Watching’

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

All · mathematics

Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

No

$276k 交易量
$0 流动性
20
已结束
1
100m Butterfly Winner (W)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (W)

Torri Huske (USA)

$28k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
1
100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Kristof Milak (HUN)

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

All

Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

$9k 交易量
$0 流动性
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang

$879k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束
W
Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
2
200m Backstroke Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

200m Backstroke Winner (M)

Hubert Kos (HUN)

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
N
Nobel Prize in Literature

Nobel Prize in Literature

Other

$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
W
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?

All

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?

$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
Grammys: Best New Artist

All · Grammys

Grammys: Best New Artist

Victoria Monét

$18k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束