Mercury Prize 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

60%

December 31, 2027

$70k 交易量
$21k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$332k 交易量
$132k 流动性
5
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

39%

December 31, 2028

$410k 交易量
$83k 流动性
13
超过 2 年后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

81%

OpenAI

$3k 交易量
$531 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

64%

0

$175k 交易量
$61k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 交易量
$582 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

76%

December 31, 2027

$345k 交易量
$17k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%

Yes

$40k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m 交易量
$2.0m 流动性
212
6 个月后结束
2
2025 Mercury Prize Winner

2025 Mercury Prize Winner

Sam Fender – ‘People Watching’

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

All · mathematics

Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

No

$276k 交易量
$0 流动性
20
已结束
1
100m Butterfly Winner (W)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (W)

Torri Huske (USA)

$28k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
1
100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Kristof Milak (HUN)

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

All

Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

$9k 交易量
$0 流动性
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang

$879k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束
W
Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
2
200m Backstroke Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

200m Backstroke Winner (M)

Hubert Kos (HUN)

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
N
Nobel Prize in Literature

Nobel Prize in Literature

Other

$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
W
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?

All

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?

$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束