Llm 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$610 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$1.0m 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$244k 交易量
$26k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k 交易量
$269k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

35%

↑ 1530

$218k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

81%

None in 2026

$126k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Anduril

$10k 交易量
$372 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

78%

1430+

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
9 个月后结束
L
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

88%

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas

$11k 交易量
$11k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

34%

1575

$132k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1560

$220k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

66%

Liquid

$141 交易量
$8k 流动性
4 天后结束
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

9%

Epic Games

$1k 交易量
$404 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

88%

↑$12.5B

$67k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束
L
Largest private company end of September?

Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$10k 交易量
$27k 流动性
9 天后结束
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

67%

1450+

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束
3
3rd largest private company end of September?

3rd largest private company end of September?

97%

ByteDance

$10k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 天后结束