Gerrymander 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 交易量
$175 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$0 交易量
$25 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

44%

Iowa

$658 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

4%

Yes

$70k 交易量
$12k 流动性
22
大约 2 个月后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

44%

Michigan

$4k 交易量
$47k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$413k 交易量
$210k 流动性
5
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k 交易量
$144k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k 交易量
$287k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

22–23

$695k 交易量
$75k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

125-130m

$30k 交易量
$120k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$178k 交易量
$24k 流动性
10
4 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$766 流动性
2
4 个月后结束
#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

$1.6m 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束
R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
E
Election called by...?

Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
W
Who will win each swing district?

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$507k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束