Gerrymander 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 交易量
$172 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

71%

Yes

$0 交易量
$30 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

70%

Iowa

$947 交易量
$396 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k 交易量
$13k 流动性
22
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$414k 交易量
$200k 流动性
5
大约 1 个月后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

42%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$48k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k 交易量
$283k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

36%

22–23

$696k 交易量
$68k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

29%

115-120m

$31k 交易量
$101k 流动性
9 个月后结束
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k 交易量
$24k 流动性
10
3 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

$1.6m 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束
R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
E
Election called by...?

Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
W
Who will win each swing district?

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$507k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
S
South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats?

DPK

$59k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束