Gerrymander 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 交易量
$170 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

71%

Yes

$0 交易量
$31 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$852 交易量
$651 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

36%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k 交易量
$13k 流动性
22
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$414k 交易量
$209k 流动性
5
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 交易量
$564 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

14%

Ohio

$20k 交易量
$128k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Texas

$46k 交易量
$181k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

37%

22–23

$696k 交易量
$67k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束
#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

$1.6m 交易量
$0 流动性
36
已结束
R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
E
Election called by...?

Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
W
Who will win each swing district?

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$507k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
S
South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats?

DPK

$59k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
N
Netherlands General Election: Which party will win the most seats?

PVV

$52k 交易量
$0 流动性
40
已结束
W
Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

Conservatives

$586k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束