Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 301 个市场

F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

46%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$145k 交易量
$208k 流动性
2 个月后结束
U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

3%

Yes

$19k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

6%

Yes

$65k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

47%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$397k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.4m 交易量
$807k 流动性
2 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$15.1m 交易量
$2.7m 流动性
🔥$319k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

19%

4.75%

$7k 交易量
$74k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$126k 交易量
$498k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

88%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m 交易量
$322k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

17%

Yes

$448k 交易量
$4k 流动性
21
3 个月后结束
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

2%

Yes

$30k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

44%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m 交易量
$171k 流动性
31
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$239k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$181k 交易量
$249k 流动性
2 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

51%

2 (50 bps)

$693k 交易量
$212k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.5m 交易量
$4.2m 流动性
123
3 个月后结束
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$25k 交易量
$46k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3 个月后结束