Federal Reserve 预测与赔率

W

Politics·Germany

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k 交易量

$14k 流动性

4

3 个月后结束

C

Tech·AI

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

14%

Yes

$633 交易量

$8k 流动性

3 个月后结束

B

Politics·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

79%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$35k 交易量

$179k 流动性

11 天后结束

F

Politics·Brazil

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

53%

Bia Kicis

$48k 交易量

$101k 流动性

1

11 天后结束

F

Politics·Oil

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k 交易量

$18k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

F

Politics·Brazil

Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

90%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k 交易量

$127k 流动性

1

11 天后结束

F

Politics·Brazil

Federal District Governor Election Winner

86%

Celina Leão

$17k 交易量

$97k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

D

Culture·Daejon Love

Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 交易量

$398 流动性

9 个月后结束

W

Politics·US Election

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

24%

Yes

$10 交易量

$555 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

F

Economy·Taxes

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 交易量

$429 流动性

3 个月后结束

F

Politics·shutdown

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k 交易量

$9k 流动性

8 天后结束

W

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

48%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m 交易量

$481k 流动性

5

3 个月后结束

W

Politics·Trump

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量

$8k 流动性

3

3 个月后结束

S

Politics·Referenda

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

60%

VAT federal decree

$9k 交易量

$23k 流动性

2 个月后结束

W

Politics·Brazil

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

58%

December 31

$27k 交易量

$13k 流动性

3 个月后结束

F

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$121k 交易量

$221k 流动性

3 个月后结束

F

Politics·Jerome Powell

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%

Yes

$8k 交易量

$6k 流动性

3 个月后结束

F

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$1.3m 交易量

$774k 流动性

3 个月后结束

F

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$11.3m 交易量

$2.2m 流动性

🔥$1.1m 今日

大约 1 个月后结束

F

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$111k 交易量

$457k 流动性

4 个月后结束

Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 122 个市场

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

Federal District Governor Election Winner

Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in January?

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