Federal Reserve 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

79%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$35k 交易量
$180k 流动性
11 天后结束
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

88%

Celina Leão

$17k 交易量
$96k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

57%

Bia Kicis

$48k 交易量
$101k 流动性
1
11 天后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

13%

Yes

$648 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

88%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k 交易量
$108k 流动性
1
11 天后结束
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 交易量
$443 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

24%

Yes

$10 交易量
$639 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

13%

Yes

$345 交易量
$314 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$9k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

50%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m 交易量
$455k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

40%

≤2.5%

$326 交易量
$6k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

63%

VAT federal decree

$9k 交易量
$23k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

60%

December 31

$27k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$122k 交易量
$239k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

71%

25 bps increase

$1.3m 交易量
$821k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$11.7m 交易量
$2.8m 流动性
🔥$1.4m 今日
大约 1 个月后结束