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Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

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P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics·Recurring

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

57%

$41 trillion

$18k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics·Recurring

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

World·20 (50) daily

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Politics·Recurring

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

8%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$437 流动性
3 个月后结束
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

25%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$182 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$394 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Politics·US Election

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k 交易量
$56k 流动性
12
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k 交易量
$125k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

All

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

Yes

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

All

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W

All

Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
US debt ceiling hike by...?

All

US debt ceiling hike by...?

July 1

$497k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

No

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
D
Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

No

$345k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束
D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Politics·Debt Ceiling

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

No

$492k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

No

$95k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Trump

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

End Tax on Tips

$321k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
P
Peak US National Debt this year?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

Peak US National Debt this year?

$37 trillion

$131k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
US defaults on debt in 2025?

Politics·us government

US defaults on debt in 2025?

No

$138k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Economy·Creators

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Yes

$656k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

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