Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

24%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$181 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

8%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$437 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

57%

$41 trillion

$18k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k 交易量
$833 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k 交易量
$246k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$836 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k 交易量
$56k 流动性
12
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

35%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$94k 交易量
$136k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k 交易量
$403 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.9m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
🔥$117k 今日
292
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
4 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

83%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$26k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

32%

Yes

$20k 交易量
$2k 流动性
6
已结束
H
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

74%

5.45%

$36k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

87%

4.90%

$25k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

69%

5.05%

$56k 交易量
$2k 流动性
9 天后结束
H
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?

55%

5.39%

$38k 交易量
$7k 流动性
9 天后结束
H
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

57%

Yes

$21k 交易量
$461 流动性
9 天后结束