Climate 预测与赔率· 152 个市场

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 交易量
$355 流动性
9 个月后结束
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

Where will it rain on September 23?

100%

Washington, DC

$7k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 23 小时后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 24?

Where will it rain on September 24?

90%

Seattle, WA

$0 交易量
$876 流动性
2 天后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

100%

Philadelphia, PA

$9k 交易量
$19k 流动性
已结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

51%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$217k 流动性
27
5 个月后结束
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

87%

Yes

$951 交易量
$269 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$241 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

78%

Over 2.5

$51k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?

Yes

$105k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during his Minneapolis Rally?

Hell 2+ times

$25k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Healthcare 4+ times

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?

Billionaire 5+ times

$102k 交易量
$0 流动性
12
已结束
S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束