Climate 预测与赔率· 183 个市场

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 交易量
$271 流动性
9 个月后结束
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

Where will it rain on September 20?

100%

New York, NY

$7k 交易量
$16k 流动性
已结束
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Where will it rain on September 21?

100%

New York, NY

$7k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 23 小时后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

84%

Washington, DC

$200 交易量
$373 流动性
2 天后结束
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

76%

Yes

$839 交易量
$575 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$236 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

77%

Over 2.5

$50k 交易量
$16k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?

Yes

$105k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during his Minneapolis Rally?

Hell 2+ times

$25k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Healthcare 4+ times

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?

Billionaire 5+ times

$102k 交易量
$0 流动性
12
已结束
S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
W
What will Obama say during DNC speech?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

$789k 交易量
$0 流动性
105
已结束
W
What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

$286k 交易量
$0 流动性
47
已结束
W
What will the next Pope believe in?

What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

$398k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束