Artificial Intelligence 预测与赔率· 119 个市场

W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$25k 交易量
$14k 流动性
2
2 天后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

92%

Antisemitic / Antisemitism

$6k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
4 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

34%

Zohran Mamdani

$54k 交易量
$503k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

96%

Money

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$853 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 天后结束
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$1k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$264k 交易量
$23k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$314 交易量
$211 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

57%

OpenAI

$491 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k 交易量
$11k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

6%

Yes

$444 交易量
$349 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

60%

Anthropic

$25k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

68%

Anthropic

$81k 交易量
$14k 流动性
10 天后结束
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

11%

Yes

$3.0m 交易量
$17k 流动性
96
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

25%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

65%

Alibaba

$46k 交易量
$14k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$58k 交易量
$52k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束