Artificial Intelligence 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Iran / Lebanon 5+ times

$5k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5 天后结束
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline 5+ times

$21k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
3 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k 交易量
$527k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

93%

Money

$819 交易量
$870 流动性
4 天后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

50%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$8k 交易量
$132 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$890 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 天后结束
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$494 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$264k 交易量
$27k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 交易量
$219 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$491 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

57%

Anthropic

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 交易量
$395 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$540 交易量
$826 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

70%

Anthropic

$80k 交易量
$13k 流动性
11 天后结束
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

9%

Yes

$3.0m 交易量
$17k 流动性
96
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

36%

Meta

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

71%

Alibaba

$46k 交易量
$9k 流动性
11 天后结束