Artifical Intelligence 预测与赔率· 791 个市场

T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

26%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k 交易量
$538k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

69%

China 5+ times

$6k 交易量
$55k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Nuclear

$16k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will Trump say during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?

38%

Yes

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
8
已结束
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 13 小时后结束
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$2k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

96%

Money

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 13 小时后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$272k 交易量
$23k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$72k 交易量
$62k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

21%

Yes

$512 交易量
$246 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

52%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

86%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

57%

OpenAI

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

26%

Yes

$126k 交易量
$18k 流动性
🔥$114k 今日
20
8 天后结束
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束