Artifical Intelligence 预测与赔率· 800 个市场

W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

59%

China 5+ times

$8k 交易量
$82k 流动性
1
1 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

26%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k 交易量
$531k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Nuclear

$18k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will Trump say during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?

31%

Yes

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
10
已结束
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

100%

Dividend

$6k 交易量
$740 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

97%

Money

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

19%

Yes

$273k 交易量
$25k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$73k 交易量
$65k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

11%

Yes

$631 交易量
$146 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

27%

October 31

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

25%

Yes

$136k 交易量
$12k 流动性
🔥$124k 今日
18
8 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

86%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$11k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
A
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

61%

October 31

$592 交易量
$949 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束