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Altman 预测与赔率· 206 个市场

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S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$11k 流动性
8 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

Culture·magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

26%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k 交易量
$567k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

Politics·AI

Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

98%

Tim Cook

$20k 交易量
$108k 流动性
1
15 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Tech·Elon

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

59%

Texas

$5k 交易量
$449 流动性
4 天后结束
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tech·Business

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k 交易量
$7k 流动性
20
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$15k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
W
Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

All · social media

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Yes

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
W
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

All

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Yes

$7k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
S
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

No

$59k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

No

$31k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
S
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

No

$49k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
W
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

$25k 交易量
$2 流动性
3
已结束
W
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

$37k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
W
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No

$65k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Yes

$13k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
W
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Yes

$7k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Politics·Courts

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No

$1.1m 交易量
$0 流动性
69
3 个月后结束
W
What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Tech·Big Tech

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Polymarket / Bet

$480k 交易量
$0 流动性
168
已结束

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