AI Benchmarks 预测与赔率· 226 个市场

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$114k 今日
8 天后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$963k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

47%

Yes

$37k 交易量
$7k 流动性
10
8 天后结束
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

90%

Alibaba

$569k 交易量
$109k 流动性
8 天后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$146k 交易量
$82k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

70%

OpenAI

$174k 交易量
$40k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

86%

Anthropic

$12k 交易量
$33k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

62%

Hodge Conjecture

$180k 交易量
$20k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$230k 交易量
$50k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

78%

Anthropic

$68k 交易量
$22k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$366k 交易量
$467k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

30%

Google

$65k 交易量
$61k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

58%

Anthropic

$14k 交易量
$24k 流动性
2 个月后结束
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

65%

Alibaba

$107k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

64%

Anthropic

$28k 交易量
$24k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

85%

Google

$28k 交易量
$18k 流动性
8 天后结束
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

91%

OpenAI

$64k 交易量
$37k 流动性
8 天后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

67%

Anthropic

$88k 交易量
$23k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$245k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束