538 Approval Rating 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

Trump approval rating on September 25?

51%

38.0–38.4

$4k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

51%

37%

$145k 交易量
$15k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

14%

↑ 47%

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

20%

Up

$670 交易量
$145 流动性
3 天后结束
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Senate control favorite on November 2?

84%

Democratic Party

$182 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House control favorite on November 2?

House control favorite on November 2?

97%

Democratic Party

$2k 交易量
$29k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

78%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

28%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

51%

J.D. Vance

$20k 交易量
$170k 流动性
1
大约 2 年后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

40%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$48k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

40%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k 交易量
$30k 流动性
6 个月后结束
A
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

34%

2.75M-2.9M

$10k 交易量
$14k 流动性
6 个月后结束
C
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$638 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

29%

10M-10.4M

$5k 交易量
$20k 流动性
6 个月后结束
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$26k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

43%

1.2M-1.3M

$7k 交易量
$38k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 交易量
$80 流动性
将近 2 年后结束
O
Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

56%

2M-2.1M

$12k 交易量
$90k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

22%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$40k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束
T
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

51%

2M-2.2M

$11k 交易量
$27k 流动性
6 个月后结束