US Canada Trade War Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$203k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

$106 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

1%

Yes

$610 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

6%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$227 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

94%

December 31

$310k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

100%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

41%

800–900B

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$261k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

75%

200+

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

98%

200+

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
N
North American Cup T20I: Bahamas vs Bermuda

Sports · Games

North American Cup T20I: Bahamas vs Bermuda

13%

Bahamas

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
USMCA extended in 2026?

USMCA extended in 2026?

10%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

19%

Vietnam

$396k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Canada election called by...?

Another Canada election called by...?

20%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$9k Liq.
40
Ends in 3 months