Third Party Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

35%

Google

$61k Vol.
$49k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

47%

New Zealand First Party

$16k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

99%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$256k Vol.
$44k Liq.
2
Ended
P
Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

82%

Democrat

$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukrainian Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Ukrainian Premier League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$41 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Eredivisie: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Eredivisie: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Süper Lig: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Süper Lig: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$30 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

50%

Party A

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
L
LaLiga: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

LaLiga: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$5 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$338 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

61%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

97%

Josh Shapiro (D)

$50k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland Governor Election Winner

Maryland Governor Election Winner

96%

Wes Moore (D)

$22k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
Saudi Professional League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Saudi Professional League: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$34 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Arizona Governor Election Winner

Arizona Governor Election Winner

89%

Katie Hobbs (D)

$73k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Primeira Liga: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

Sports · Soccer

Primeira Liga: 3rd Place Finish 2026-27

$0 Vol.
$210 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nevada Governor Election Winner

Nevada Governor Election Winner

56%

Joe Lombardo (R)

$160k Vol.
$39k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month