Tha1 Predictions & Odds· 830872 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$70.3m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$378k today
1,703
Ends in 3 months
D
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?

3%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$486 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

88%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

6%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?

28%

7M ETH

$57k Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

2%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin price on September 24?

Bitcoin price on September 24?

48%

84,000-86,000

$125k Vol.
$270k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in about 14 hours
H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?

30%

6–10s

$64k Vol.
$45k Liq.
🔥$56k today
3
Ends in 14 days
M
Maduro Prison Time?

Maduro Prison Time?

55%

No prison time

$892k Vol.
$63k Liq.
28
Ends in over 1 year
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

98%

340–354

$2.5m Vol.
$77k Liq.
117
Ended
"
"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office

66%

22m+

$74k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%

$2.0–$2.25T

$925k Vol.
$151k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Bitcoin price on September 25?

Bitcoin price on September 25?

36%

84,000-86,000

$37k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
"
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

98%

950 - 960m

$917k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

80%

60-70M

$204k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

61%

1.5T+

$372k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

32%

840-879

$228k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

56%

Lula da Silva <5%

$593k Vol.
$627k Liq.
17
Ends in 11 days
#
# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?

# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?

71%

60-61.25M

$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

65%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$65k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 4 days