Tha1 Predictions & Odds· 826210 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$69.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$704k today
1,702
Ends in 3 months
D
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

6%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

87%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?

29%

7M ETH

$57k Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

97%

340–354

$2.5m Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$71k today
114
Ended
M
Maduro Prison Time?

Maduro Prison Time?

54%

No prison time

$858k Vol.
$76k Liq.
🔥$65k today
27
Ends in over 1 year
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

53%

Lula da Silva <5%

$575k Vol.
$721k Liq.
17
Ends in 12 days
"
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

99%

950 - 960m

$888k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bitcoin price on September 23?

Bitcoin price on September 23?

95%

>84,000

$79k Vol.
$220k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

97%

20-24

$75k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ended
#
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

80%

70-80M

$170k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

97%

59-62%

$1.3m Vol.
$148k Liq.
151
Ended
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

52%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$49k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
R
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?

100%

55-60%

$82k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin price on September 24?

Bitcoin price on September 24?

56%

>86,000

$38k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

22%

880-919

$201k Vol.
$139k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
"
"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office

65%

22m+

$28k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

35%

2-4%

$90k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 12 days